Gap Inc. Equity Valuation and Analysis Valued at November 1, 2006

Gap Inc. Equity Valuation and Analysis Valued at November 1, 2006

62 Pages · 2007 · 331 KB · English

Valued at November 1, 2006 Brian Vance: [email protected] also outline all accounting statements and opinions affecting their business. We

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1 Gap Inc. Equity Valuation and Analysis Valued at November 1, 2006 Brian Vance: [email protected] Jonathan Applegate: [email protected] Kyle Reynolds: [email protected] Chance Baucum: [email protected] Matt Loyd: [email protected] 2 Table of Contents Executive Summary…………………………………………………6 Industry Overview and Analysis…………………………………8 Company Overview………………………………………………….8 Competitive Advantage Analysis…………………………………15 Accounting Flexibility………………………………………………..23 Accounting Strategy Evaluation…………………………………..24 Quality of disclosure…………………………………………………………………………………..25 Potential “Red flags”………………………………………………………………………………...26 3 Ratio Analysis and Forecast Financials…………………………28 Liquidity Analysis……………………………………………………..29 Profitability Analysis…………………………………………………30 Capital Structure Analysis………………………………………….31 Benchmark Analysis………………………………………………....31 Liquidity…………………………………………………………………………………………………...32 Profitability ………………………………………………………………………………………………35 Capital structure………………………………………………………………………………………..38 Financial Statement Forecasting…………………………………39 Valuation Analysis……………………………………………………42 Method of comparables Valuation…………………………………………………………….43 Cost of Capital Estimation………………………………………………………………………..44 Summary of Valuations…………………………………………….45 Altman’s Z-Score……………………………………………………..49 References…………………………………………………………….51 Appendices…………………………………………………………….52 4 GAP INC. Ticker Symbol: (NYSE:GPS) Valuations (As of Nov. 1st, 2005) S&P 500 Price 20.8 Actual Price 20.64 52 week range 15.91 - 21.39 AEG Model 97 Market Cap 15.53B RI Model 797 FCF 1,230 Sales $Mil 15,837 DPS $0.18 SHS OS 822.00M Beta 0.86 Div. Yld 1.5 Stnd Dev. 0.56 GPS Industry ROE 16.95% 22.50% Earnings Per Share: P/E 17.77% 20.80% 2004 2005 2006e 2007e P/B 3% 4.50% 0.65 0.74 0.97 1.1 LT D/E 0.10% 0.30%

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